Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 0.000588 0.000670 0.000757 0.000856 0.000965 0.001082 0.001215
2025-11-02 0.000463 0.000577 0.000706 0.000862 0.001045 0.001251 0.001500
2025-11-09 0.000392 0.000520 0.000672 0.000863 0.001096 0.001368 0.001707
2025-11-16 0.000326 0.000457 0.000621 0.000835 0.001104 0.001429 0.001846
2025-11-23 0.000276 0.000409 0.000581 0.000813 0.001114 0.001488 0.001978
2025-11-30 0.000243 0.000378 0.000558 0.000809 0.001144 0.001568 0.002137
2025-12-07 0.000217 0.000352 0.000539 0.000808 0.001176 0.001650 0.002298
2025-12-14 0.000191 0.000326 0.000517 0.000799 0.001193 0.001713 0.002434
2025-12-21 0.000168 0.000300 0.000493 0.000786 0.001204 0.001764 0.002556
2025-12-28 0.000158 0.000292 0.000495 0.000807 0.001263 0.001882 0.002768
2026-01-04 0.000147 0.000282 0.000490 0.000820 0.001309 0.001983 0.002959
2026-01-11 0.000132 0.000264 0.000474 0.000813 0.001325 0.002042 0.003095
2026-01-18 0.000117 0.000246 0.000455 0.000803 0.001336 0.002095 0.003222
2026-01-25 0.000108 0.000235 0.000449 0.000810 0.001373 0.002185 0.003406
2026-02-01 0.000099 0.000223 0.000439 0.000810 0.001400 0.002261 0.003569
2026-02-08 0.000086 0.000203 0.000413 0.000783 0.001383 0.002272 0.003639
2026-02-15 0.000075 0.000187 0.000392 0.000763 0.001374 0.002293 0.003724
2026-02-22 0.000068 0.000176 0.000382 0.000759 0.001391 0.002354 0.003867
2026-03-01 0.000062 0.000168 0.000373 0.000758 0.001413 0.002421 0.004021
2026-03-08 0.000056 0.000157 0.000361 0.000749 0.001420 0.002467 0.004143
2026-03-15 0.000050 0.000147 0.000346 0.000737 0.001421 0.002501 0.004249
2026-03-22 0.000048 0.000146 0.000351 0.000758 0.001478 0.002625 0.004492
2026-03-29 0.000045 0.000142 0.000350 0.000770 0.001521 0.002727 0.004703